War and Peace in the Bhagavad Gita


Becoming an atheist was for me a two step process: first I rejected the Christianity I was baptised and raised in, then I realized that all religions had their inconsistencies, their compromises, their tendency to lose their center by telling people what they wanted to hear, even as it distorted and even contradicted the original message. But because of my history and location, my thoughts focused on Christianity. So it is good to read an analysis of how another major religious text has been handled throughout history.

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Unix in the browser


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Faith & Doubt

You have to have both. If you have no faith, you will never shoot for the Moon. If you have no doubt, you will never find out what it takes to get there.

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Top-Down Parsing in Python


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Who was Machiavelli and why is Florence such a wonderful town?

Machiavelli I – S.P.Q.F. (Begins Machiavelli Series)

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Memory — false and true


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3 meals a day?


Or not.

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The Fed and black unemployment

I never quite trusted this guy, but I’m all in favor of people who can open their eyes and see what is around them.

Fed’s Kashkari is ‘shocked’ that black unemployment isn’t better understood


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About the “wall of worry”

I notice that Mark Gilbert of Bloomberg, linked by Barry Ritholz, also invokes the wall of worry.

Google trends shows more interest in it last decade, not so much any more.

Maybe when it starts to become a thing again, that will be a clue that it is about to collapse, and the top is in sight. Which is not the case now.

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The Wall of Worry

As the market bump along near all-time highs, people are spooked. Trump spooks them. Clinton spooks them. Brexit spooks them. China spooks them. The Fed spooks them. Rich P/E’s spook them. There’s plenty of spooks out there. It is the classic wall of worry.

However, as the link notes,

a continued advance is much less certain if the wall of worry forms near a major market peak, in which case a subsequent decline is more likely

So we will see. I will go with the conventional wisdom for now, and say the markets will climb this wall of worry, and that this is a good time to be looking for stocks.

Note too that by definition, after a major market peak, stocks fall and the wall of worry breaks down. But how long did it run before that point? Maybe we’re 10-20% away from that major market peak.

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